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Goldman Sachs foresees 50% chance of 10% US tariff on copper

22 янв 2025 14:49 reported by Joy Liu

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Analysts at Goldman Sachs said on Monday (January 20) that the copper market is pricing in a 50% chance of a 10% US tariff by the end of the first quarter of this year, similar to its 50% subjective projection of a 10% effective tariff on copper by the end of the year.

In addition, the investment bank also noted that the oil market is pricing in a nearly 40% chance of a 25% US tariff on Canadian goods, including oil, while it assigned a 15% subjective probability of a 25% effective tariff by year-end.

In terms of gold, Goldman estimated a 10% chance of a 10% effective tariff within the next 12 months, adding its status as a financial asset is likely to make it unaffected by widespread tariffs.

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